Natural Resources

Alternative Investments

Natural Resources Investment Features

Learning Outcome Statement:

Explain features of raw land, timberland, and farmland and their investment characteristics

Summary:

The LOS discusses the unique investment characteristics and features of raw land, timberland, and farmland. It contrasts these with traditional real estate investments, emphasizing the importance of location, the nature of returns, and the influence of environmental factors. The content also highlights the role of specialized knowledge for successful investment and the impact of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) objectives on investment decisions.

Key Concepts:

Investment Characteristics

Raw land, timberland, and farmland are characterized by their unique, illiquid nature with distinct geographic features. They offer potential for price appreciation, lease revenue, and direct revenue from natural resources like crops and timber.

Comparison with Real Estate

Unlike traditional real estate that values physical improvements, investments in raw land, timberland, and farmland focus on the quality of natural resources such as soil and timber quality. Location relative to transportation and markets also plays a crucial role in determining value.

Specialized Knowledge

Investors require specific knowledge about the natural resources and their management to make informed investment decisions. For timberland, forest investment expertise is crucial, often managed by Timberland Investment Management Organizations (TIMOs).

ESG Objectives

Investments in these natural resources often align with ESG objectives, focusing on sustainability, water conservation, and carbon sequestration, which adds to their appeal for institutional investors.

Risk Factors

Investments in farmland and timberland are subject to environmental risks like weather changes and climate impact, which can significantly affect the yield and quality of the resources.

Commodity Investment Forms

Learning Outcome Statement:

Describe features of commodities and their investment characteristics

Summary:

Commodity investments involve various forms including direct physical assets and derivatives like futures and options. These investments are influenced by factors such as cost of carry, government control, environmental policies, and market conditions. Commodities do not generate cash flows and incur costs like storage and transportation. The pricing of commodities in markets is influenced by the relationship between spot prices and forward prices, which can lead to market conditions known as contango and backwardation.

Key Concepts:

Cost of Carry

Costs incurred from holding a physical commodity, including storage, insurance, and transportation. These costs must be outweighed by price appreciation for the investment to be profitable.

Government Role

Governments often control natural resources and can influence commodity markets through subsidies, price supports, or direct control over extraction and production.

Environmental Impact

Environmental policies and climate objectives can significantly affect commodity investments, particularly in sectors like energy and agriculture.

Commodity Derivatives

Most commodity investments are made through derivatives such as futures and options, which provide liquidity and price discovery without the need to physically hold the commodity.

Contango and Backwardation

Market conditions determined by the relationship between current spot prices and future prices. Contango occurs when future prices are higher than spot prices, often due to high carry costs. Backwardation occurs when future prices are lower than spot prices, typically due to a high convenience yield.

Formulas:

Forward Price Formula

F0(T)=S0e(r+ci)TF_0(T) = S_0 e^{(r+c-i)T}

This formula shows how the forward price of a commodity is determined by its current spot price, the cost of carry, the convenience yield, and the risk-free rate, compounded over the time until the contract expires.

Variables:
F0(T)F_0(T):
Forward price of the commodity at time T
S0S_0:
Current spot price of the commodity
rr:
Risk-free rate of interest
cc:
Cost of carry
ii:
Convenience yield
TT:
Time to the expiration of the forward contract
Units: Monetary units (e.g., USD)

Natural Resource Investment Risk, Return, and Diversification

Learning Outcome Statement:

Analyze sources of risk, return, and diversification among natural resource investments

Summary:

This LOS explores the various aspects of investing in natural resources, focusing on commodities, farmland, and timberland. It discusses the unique risk profiles, potential returns, and diversification benefits these assets can offer to an investment portfolio. The content also delves into the dynamics of commodity pricing, the impact of inflation on these assets, and their correlation with traditional asset classes like stocks and bonds.

Key Concepts:

Commodity Trading Advisers (CTAs)

CTAs use derivative contracts on commodities to devise trading strategies focused on predicting upcoming market trends, rather than advising on physical commodity transactions.

Forward Price Formula

The forward price of a commodity can be expressed as the spot price plus costs of carry minus the benefits of ownership. This relationship helps in understanding how the forward and spot prices interact based on the costs and benefits involved.

Backwardation

Backwardation occurs when the forward price of a commodity is less than its spot price, often due to low inventories which increase the desirability of holding the physical commodity over derivative contracts.

Inflation Hedging

Commodities are often considered as a hedge against inflation because their prices are directly included in inflation calculations and they tend to perform well when inflation is high.

Portfolio Diversification

Natural resources like farmland, timberland, and commodities can offer diversification benefits in an investment portfolio due to their low correlation with traditional asset classes like stocks and bonds.

Formulas:

Forward Price Formula

F=S+CBF = S + C - B

This formula helps determine the forward price of a commodity based on its current spot price, associated costs of carrying the commodity until the forward date, and any benefits derived from owning the commodity.

Variables:
FF:
Forward price of the commodity
SS:
Spot price of the commodity
CC:
Costs of carry (e.g., storage, insurance)
BB:
Benefits of ownership (e.g., convenience yield)
Units: currency